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Tropical Storm Ian: Latest track, spaghetti models

Tropical Storm Ian: Latest Tracks and Spaghetti Models



A full update on the tropics in no time. But let’s start with our refreshing weather now. You felt there, those football games tonight, the low fifty from the Pickens. It is already in its forties across different parts of the state And we’ll be there tomorrow morning. A refreshing, post-forty to start your day with clear skies and the beauty of a Saturday. We’ll mix in some clouds late but it’s going to be beautiful. Temperatures are near 80 degrees in some places, but there is no humidity and temperatures are warm where we should be for this time of year. And we have lovely low-seventies conditions, low humidity, to go leaf-peeping or apple-picking on the actual Henderson Billary Great Weekend. Look for 74 in Asheville tomorrow and this nice weather could mean our next big weather maker may actually come from the tropics, at least for the Southeast. Uncertain if we are going to make an impact in the Western Carolinas. But simply put, it’s possible that we’ll have to watch this system closely here as it’s in the Caribbean, moving westward into the waters that are obviously going to cause it. That’s what we’re afraid of here. The storm has been downgraded to a tropical storm here by the latest advisory Its name is IAN. We see it going west here. We are watching it closely. In case you were wondering, Hermine was named deep in the Atlantic today. It is not a threat to the United States. That’s why we put our next list name right here on the list. It is moving in West North-West direction And the latest track here is now headed toward Cuba as a powerful category two hurricane Monday, with impacts expected to be felt in the Florida Keys before Monday evening. Then the model and the National Hurricane Center moved it to Tampa and right into central Florida, possibly as a strong Category Three or Category Two hurricane over Orlando. It pulls north. How far will it go in the north? This has yet to be determined, but note that the cone is to the south. Georgia is almost here near Brunswick. Now, this is the cone of uncertainty. Does that mean the center of circulation will be somewhere here? What it is can vary between our models, and you’ll find it here on larger deals across Florida But many of these models now want to make it further west into Apple Cola It will have a higher impact on us. On the shore. But as you can see, almost all of our computer models have everything going through South Carolina Where temperatures remain warm and could turn this system into a strong hurricane it could threaten Charleston or Myrtle Beach. Simply put, we’ll have to take a closer look at it next week. Again, our three most reliable computer models, European, Canadian, GFS and good deal Until then, half of them take us through the area. The Europeans took it to Myrtle Beach in a very strong hurricane. In fact, let me show you that this is the most consistent model ever. GFS and European. Here is the GFS model south of the Cayman Islands. It moves it north and then slows it down Still not making landfall by Wednesday. Europeans are here. So they differ on this point. This will bring strong winds to our area and possibly heavy rain through Friday. However, both models show it to be a fast moving one, so the risk of rain will be low, the risk of wind will be high And it’s all going to sink into the jet stream Does this system get it north enough to catch its ride? Basically out to sea? Or is it so slow that Truty then sinks into the leaves and can’t catch it. We’ll find out more this weekend. Monday through Wednesday when the impact is across Florida. Thursday, Friday, possibly over the Carolinas. Four days look like this, 76 degrees tomorrow, 84 on Sunday. We got 82 on Monday. Then back into the seventies a second cold front is headed our way and western North Carolina has even cooler sunshine

Tropical Storm Ian: Latest Tracks and Spaghetti Models

Tropical Storm Ian is forecast to hit Florida as a major Category 3 hurricane and could also affect the Carolinas next week. Below you’ll find the latest maps and models, and above you’ll find the latest storm forecasts and the latest information from the WYFF News 4 weather team. Spaghetti Model: Storm Stats Latest Track Southeast Radar Latest Warnings, Advisories

Tropical Storm Ian is forecast to hit Florida as a major Category 3 hurricane and could also affect the Carolinas next week.

Below you’ll find the latest maps and models, and above you’ll find the latest storm forecasts and the latest information from the WYFF News 4 weather team.

Spaghetti Model:

Spaghetti model

Storm statistics

Hurricane 'Storm' Statistics

The latest track

Hurricane 'Storm' Track

Southeast Radar

Live'Super'Doppler'4'Southeast'Radar

Latest warnings, advice

Storm surge warning


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